BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Wrestling

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Davenport Assumption

Class: 2A Class Rank: 2 Conference: (6-1-0) Overall: (19-1-0) Overall Strength =  124.40

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/01/2011 Unknown W   133.11  76   6   2A  49 (18- 6) Goose Lake Northeast   17.01 *   52.99                      
  2 12/08/2011 Home    W * 109.98  54  25   3A  29 ( 4- 3) Burlington             -6.12 *   35.12                      
  3 12/08/2011 Home    W * 111.46  47  16   3A  34 ( 6- 8) Davenport West         -4.64 *   35.64                      
  4 12/10/2011 Away    W   138.36  45  15   1A   3 (23- 6) Don Bosco              22.26      7.74                      
  5 12/10/2011 Unknown W   134.17  54  17   3A  15 ( 6- 6) WDM Dowling            18.07     18.93                      
  6 12/10/2011 Away    W   121.69  59  12   2A  37 (11-13) Dubuque Wahlert         5.58 *   41.42                      
  7 12/10/2011 Away    W   113.20  64  12   2A  60 (11-12) Dyersville Beckman     -2.91 *   54.91                      
  8 12/10/2011 Unknown W    99.73  71  10   1A  76 ( 1-13) Iowa City Regina      -16.38 *   77.38                      
  9 12/15/2011 Unknown W * 119.46  40  28   3A  10 (18- 7) Pleasant Valley         3.36      8.64                      
 10 12/17/2011 Away    W   118.51  54  20   2A  26 (16- 5) Perry                   2.41     31.59                      
 11 12/17/2011 Away    W   113.90  58  18   3A  40 ( 7-14) Waukee                 -2.20 *   42.20                      
 12 12/17/2011 Away    W   103.83  78   3   3A  64 ( 2-20) DM North-Hoover       -12.27 *   87.27                      
 13 12/22/2011 Home    W * 127.00  46  23   3A  11 (20- 6) Eldridge North Scott   10.90     12.10                      
 14 01/05/2012 Away    W    92.83  65   9   1A  83 ( 6-21) Durant                -23.28 *   79.28                      
 15 01/05/2012 Home    W   111.19  54  16   1A  23 (15-13) Lisbon                 -4.91 *   42.91                      
 16 01/05/2012 Home    W   106.41  57  18   2A  45 (10-10) West Liberty           -9.70 *   48.70                      
 17 01/17/2012 Neutral W * 119.23  51  21   3A  24 (15- 8) Clinton                 3.13     26.87                      
 18 01/17/2012 Away    W   125.43  60  18   2A  31 ( 8- 8) Central Clinton         9.32     32.68                      
 19 01/19/2012 Home    L * 113.00  21  47   3A   1 ( 8- 0) Bettendorf             -3.10    -22.90                      
 20 01/26/2012 Away    W * 109.58  73   6   3A  60 ( 4-10) Davenport Central      -6.52 *   73.52                      
      Averages             116.10  56.4 17.0

Best game:  138.36 = 30 point win over Gilbertville Don Bosco
Worst game:  92.83 = 56 point win over Durant
Team stdev:  11.65